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The numbers ahead of a clash between Chelsea & Tottenham that both need to win

JA

Jason Pettigrove

Published 1 month ago

The Chelsea vs Tottenham fixture is a must-win game for both sides, but for entirely different reasons.

[p][a href="https://open.spotify.com/episode/46RsL8Bj5sib5UjA6lQ2TI?si=fOtTUpMkQYWg3sPFz88C5Q" target="_blank"][b]Click here to listen to this article on Spotify[/b][/a][/p][p]After another frankly awful campaign for [a href="https://www.flashscore.ca/team/chelsea/4fGZN2oK/"]the Blues[/a], they're still in with a chance of European football next season, if they're able to win their two remaining matches.[/p][p]With Xabi Alonso having agreed to become the club's new manager from the 2026/27 season, attracting new players will be far easier if the West Londoners have a European campaign to play as well as domestic assignments.[/p][p][a href="https://www.flashscore.ca/team/tottenham/UDg08Ohm/"]Tottenham[/a], on the other hand, just need to stay in the Premier League, and a point at Stamford Bridge would all but seal [a href="https://www.flashscore.ca/team/manchester-united/ppjDR086/"]West Ham[/a]'s relegation to the Championship.[/p][embed guid="84ba0520-613a-4394-b824-a0a40b247d76" url="https://x.com/ChelseaFC/status/2055921389639459068" social-type="twitter" /][p]Though the Irons could still win on the final day and Spurs could lose at home to [a href="https://www.flashscore.ca/team/everton/KluSTr9s/"]Everton[/a], if the Lilywhites had already gained a point against Chelsea, it would require the East Londoners to win against [a href="https://www.flashscore.ca/team/leeds/tUxUbLR2/"]Leeds[/a] by 13 goals, something that's clearly not going to happen.[/p][h2]History on Chelsea's side[/h2][p]The one glimmer of hope that West Ham and indeed Chelsea themselves have is that Tottenham have only won once at Stamford Bridge in their last 35 league games (D11, L23), which came back in April 2018 when Mauricio Pochettino - who later moved to the West London outfit, of course -  was in charge.[/p][p]Chelsea's 38 Premier League wins against Spurs are their most against one opponent, and only Man Utd have more victories over the team from N17 (40). The Blues have also won their last five matches against Tuesday night's opponents, and have only won more in a row on one occasion, between January 2000 and March 2002 (six wins).[/p][p]Furthermore, Calum McFarlane's side haven't lost their final home league game of the season in the last 23 years (W16, D7), last doing so when defeated by [a href="https://www.flashscore.ca/team/aston-villa/W00wmLO0/"]Aston Villa[/a] in 2001/02. [/p][image alt="Chelsea v Tottenham - Live win probability" id="56b6e9c2-51b1-4c81-832f-754aa9177d51" credit-line="Opta by Stats Perform" guid="a363f246-ba05-43b4-9ba3-6dab1fc0ae34" original-width="1080" original-height="1080" /][h2]Blues playing poorly[/h2][p]Perhaps the only note of caution from a Chelsea perspective is that their current form is amongst the worst in the English top flight.[/p][p]Losing the FA Cup final was a bitter pill to swallow; however, six losses and one draw in the last seven league matches is the major reason why the club are having to battle for a European berth rather than having secured one already.[/p][p]They've lost their last four league games at the Bridge, too, but they've never lost five consecutive home league games in their entire history.[/p][p]With no goals in five of their last seven Premier League matches, the Blues need to be right at it from the first whistle in an attacking sense if they want to emerge victorious from this one.[/p][image alt="Chelsea vs Tottenham - Current league positions" id="26b195d0-322a-4e78-9ecd-7a8711355e73" credit-line="Flashscore" guid="c8492af9-4125-4f94-b9c2-601dbe7ecdc2" original-width="1200" original-height="1200" /][p][a href="https://www.flashscore.ca/player/joao-pedro/CAmJERl2/"]Joao Pedro[/a], an apparent summer target to replace [a href="https://www.flashscore.ca/player/lewandowski-robert/MVC8zHZD/"]Robert Lewandowski[/a] at [a href="https://www.flashscore.ca/team/barcelona/SKbpVP5K/"]Barcelona[/a], has gone off the boil of late, but he does have four goal involvements in his two top-flight starts against Spurs (three goals, one assist), and another in this game could be vital to his team's European aspirations.[/p][p] [/p][h2]Tottenham in great form under De Zerbi[/h2][p]In the final away game of last season, Tottenham lost to Aston Villa 2-0. However, before that defeat, they'd won their final four away games in each season from 2020/21 to 2023/24. [/p][p]Spurs have also won the last two away matches they've played in the current campaign (against Villa and [a href="https://www.flashscore.ca/team/wolves/j3Azpf5d/"]Wolves[/a]), but you have to go back to between September and November 2020 for the last time they won more away games in a row (four on that occasion).[/p][p]Though they are still in trouble at the wrong end of the table, the turnaround under [a href="https://www.flashscore.ca/player/de-zerbi-roberto/pYizckpN/"]Roberto De Zerbi[/a] has been nothing short of remarkable.[/p][image alt="Tottenham's recent form" id="269cb2f7-578b-459c-bc68-1f433c19dd97" credit-line="Flashscore" guid="5ac62005-8f00-426c-b614-364887747c1d" original-width="1200" original-height="1200" /][p]Since the Italian took over the role of first-team head coach from [a href="https://www.flashscore.ca/player/tudor-igor/Qu12kvXf/"]Igor Tudor[/a], he has seen the club take as many points from their last four games (eight, thanks to two wins and two draws) as they had in the previous 17 matches (W1, D5, L11).[/p][p]In the five matches he's been in charge, only once have they conceded in the first half, whereas in the 11 games before De Zerbi's appointment, the North Londoners had let in at least one goal before the break.[/p][h2][a href="https://www.flashscore.ca/player/maddison-james/YwP0q0m8/"]Maddison[/a] to complement [a href="https://www.flashscore.ca/player/richarlison/K82Dz773/"]Richarlison[/a]?[/h2][p]Richarlison remains their main man in terms of goals, though he does only have three to his name since the turn of the year. Never could another be more timely should he find the scoresheet on Tuesday.[/p][p]His cause may be helped by the creativity of the returning James Maddison, who, after a year out, got the biggest ovation of the night last time out against Leeds.[/p][embed guid="16f88f8a-0115-4a49-8177-89c46a73e00e" url="https://x.com/SpursOfficial/status/2055997084419985655" social-type="twitter" /][p]In terms of injuries, the Blues are missing [a href="https://www.flashscore.ca/player/estevao/CfE59ouk/"]Estevao[/a], [a href="https://www.flashscore.ca/player/gittens-jamie/zmDkHahi/"]Jamie Gittens[/a], [a href="https://www.flashscore.ca/player/derry-jesse/4deYk3pg/"]Jesse Derry[/a] and [a href="https://www.flashscore.ca/player/lavia-romeo/UepSPHBj/"]Romeo Lavia[/a], whilst Tottenham still can't count on the services of [a href="https://www.flashscore.ca/player/simons-xavi/noo0L9zk/"]Xavi Simons[/a], [a href="https://www.flashscore.ca/player/odobert-wilson/CIvgNZLk/"]Wilson Odobert[/a], [a href="https://www.flashscore.ca/player/kudus-mohammed/hzbcXxIG/"]Mo Kudus[/a], [a href="https://www.flashscore.ca/player/kulusevski-dejan/fXLqHCYi/"]Dejan Kulusevski[/a], [a href="https://www.flashscore.ca/player/romero-cristian/jBZTWXMn/"]Cristian Romero[/a] and [a href="https://www.flashscore.ca/player/solanke-dominic/OrADwZse/"]Dominic Solanke[/a].[/p][p][a href="https://www.flashscore.ca/player/vicario-guglielmo/0fdL3XXa/"]Guglielmo Vicario[/a] is fit again, though De Zerbi may continue with [a href="https://www.flashscore.ca/player/kinsky-antonin/hv1U4aGj/"]Antonin Kinsky[/a] in goal after a decent few performances from the reserve keeper.[/p][p][b][a href="https://www.flashscore.ca/game/soccer/chelsea-4fGZN2oK/tottenham-UDg08Ohm/?mid=Uu6uknGb"]Follow Chelsea vs Tottenham here[/a][/b][/p][image alt="Jason Pettigrove" id="b1b21f90-573a-4d5c-b49b-8a36009c5b05" credit-line="Flashscore" guid="664c32ef-7a2b-46af-b65a-799013c4e9b3" original-width="1200" original-height="380" /]

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